New Delhi: The Axis APM exit poll predicts the People Democratic Party (PDP) victory in Jammu & Kashmir. According to the exit poll the PDP is expected to get 36-41 seats in the 87-member state Assembly. The BJP which fought the election with a lot of spirit is expected to come second with 16-22 seats.
The ruling National Conference and till recently its alliance partner the Congress are expected to get just 9-13 seats each. The Panthers Party (JKNPP) is projected to get 2-4 seats and the others are expected to get 4-6 seats.
The Axis APM exit poll was conducted in all 87 Assembly seats spread over the three regions – Kashmir with 46 seats, Jammu with 37 seats and Ladakh with 4 seats.
Former chief minister Mufti Mohammad Sayeed-led PDP is expected to get 28% votes with BJP expected to get 20% votes. The Abdullahs-led NC is expected to get 23% votes and the Congress may get 17% votes. The JKNPP may get 3% votes and others may garner 9% votes.
NO SEAT FOR BJP IN KASHMIR VALLEY
According to the exit poll, the BJP despite a high decibel campaign across the Kashmir valley is unlikely to get any seats there. The PDP is expected to win most of the seats in the valley. Remaining seats may to the National Conference and the Congress.
CM OMAR MAY WIN FROM SONAWAR, LOSE BEERWAH
According to the exit poll, Chief Minister Omar Abdullah who contested from two Assembly seats is expected to win from Sonawar in Srinagar. He is likely to lose Beerwah seat in Badgam to the Congress.
TOUGH FIGHT IN LADAKH
According to the exit poll, Ladakh with four Assembly seats may throw up some surprising and shocking results. In Nobra, the BJP is in a close fight with the ruling NC. In Leh, it is in a close fight with the Congress. The Congress is expected to win Kargil. In Zanskar, the Congress is in a close fight with an Independent candidate.
BJP LEADS IN JAMMU
As expected the BJP is likely to do well in Jammu region with 37 assembly seats. It is expected to win 14-20 seats in the region.
If the PDP wins 36-41 seats, it can take the support any political party except the ruling NC to reach the halfway mark of 44 seats. It can even go with the Panthers Party and Independents. Or it can even clinch a deal with its former ally the Congress.
It can even go with the BJP. If the BJP does not go with the PDP or the PDP declines the BJP’s offer, for the first time the BJP can become the main opposition party in the Jammu & Kashmir Assembly.
Disclaimer: The Exit Poll was conducted by AXIS APM and aired on CNN-IBN. The same has been posted on media.